The OGs

2026 · Week 5

Lines and matchups

Each line sums the Sleeper PPR projection for every starter in the lineup. The spread is the projected margin, the total is the combined projection, and moneylines are fair odds from a normal model with no vig.

Week 5 board

59% RMcGee33O/U 288.0
Mr. BTA (Dong Corleone)camfleety
137.00
Proj 139.5Spread +9.0ML +145
Daejon’s AgentRMcGee33
100.00
Proj 148.3Spread -9.0ML -145
All-time series: camfleety 3–1
Starters, projected vs actual
Mr. BTA (Dong Corleone)
PlayerProjPts+/−
QBJayden Daniels
16.933.3vs projection +16.4
RBJames Cook
15.30.0vs projection −15.3
RBChase Brown
17.87.0vs projection −10.7
WRCeeDee Lamb
20.72.9vs projection −17.8
WRChris Olave
16.18.6vs projection −7.5
WRParker Washington
13.934.4vs projection +20.5
TEColston Loveland
9.93.9vs projection −6.0
WREmeka Egbuka
10.817.2vs projection +6.4
QBTrevor Lawrence
17.929.7vs projection +11.8
Daejon’s Agent
PlayerProjPts+/−
QBJoe Burrow
19.934.6vs projection +14.7
RBChristian McCaffrey
18.917.3vs projection −1.6
RBJonathan Taylor
19.111.2vs projection −7.9
WRTee Higgins
14.84.2vs projection −10.6
WRZay Flowers
15.714.6vs projection −1.1
WRDavante Adams
16.00.0vs projection −16.0
TEGeorge Kittle
12.77.4vs projection −5.3
RBAshton Jeanty
12.810.7vs projection −2.1
QBMatthew Stafford
18.50.0vs projection −18.5
53% deepsync1210O/U 228.5
Bake It 'Til You Make Itdeepsync1210
151.00
Proj 115.7Spread -3.0ML -115
Vick’s Dogg Squadnathanvecchio
103.08
Proj 112.6Spread +3.0ML +115
All-time series: deepsync1210 3–1
Starters, projected vs actual
Bake It 'Til You Make It
PlayerProjPts+/−
QBDrake Maye
19.249.5vs projection +30.3
RBOllie Gordon
12.714.8vs projection +2.1
RBWill Shipley
10.58.3vs projection −2.2
WRGeorge Pickens
13.929.0vs projection +15.1
WRJakobi Meyers
8.85.7vs projection −3.1
WRChris Godwin
10.37.0vs projection −3.3
TETrey McBride
18.121.6vs projection +3.5
WRIsaiah Williams
7.72.9vs projection −4.8
QBJustin Herbert
14.712.2vs projection −2.4
Vick’s Dogg Squad
PlayerProjPts+/−
QBDeshaun Watson
14.214.2vs projection ±0.0
RBDerrick Henry
18.022.0vs projection +4.0
RBEmanuel Wilson
12.613.2vs projection +0.6
WRTre Tucker
8.97.5vs projection −1.4
WRRomeo Doubs
12.92.6vs projection −10.3
WRCooper Kupp
6.63.5vs projection −3.1
TET.J. Hockenson
10.41.7vs projection −8.7
RBRhamondre Stevenson
13.117.5vs projection +4.4
QBMalik Willis
16.020.9vs projection +4.9
55% bryandespain2O/U 302.0
Hypothetical Juggernautbryandespain2
177.86
Proj 153.5Spread -5.0ML -120
Packman1152Packman1152
124.56
Proj 148.7Spread +5.0ML +120
All-time series: bryandespain2 1–1
Starters, projected vs actual
Hypothetical Juggernaut
PlayerProjPts+/−
QBJosh Allen
21.50.0vs projection −21.5
RBJahmyr Gibbs
25.938.7vs projection +12.8
RBJaylen Warren
19.843.8vs projection +24.0
WRCarnell Tate
12.21.6vs projection −10.6
WRChristian Watson
15.638.3vs projection +22.7
WRNico Collins
17.810.6vs projection −7.2
TESam LaPorta
13.119.8vs projection +6.8
RBOmarion Hampton
10.14.9vs projection −5.2
QBBrock Purdy
17.620.2vs projection +2.6
Packman1152
PlayerProjPts+/−
QBSam Darnold
16.610.3vs projection −6.3
RBBijan Robinson
24.415.8vs projection −8.6
RBKyren Williams
19.30.0vs projection −19.3
WRAmon-Ra St. Brown
21.112.9vs projection −8.2
WRDeebo Samuel
10.02.5vs projection −7.5
WRMichael Wilson
16.37.3vs projection −9.0
TEIsaiah Likely
11.432.4vs projection +21.0
WRMalik Washington
11.512.1vs projection +0.6
QBJacoby Brissett
18.231.3vs projection +13.1
60% clrodriguez17O/U 199.5
Indianapolis Caultsclrodriguez17
101.52
Proj 104.5Spread -9.5ML -150
Loading...ssyork23
83.28
Proj 95.1Spread +9.5ML +150
All-time series: clrodriguez17 1–1
Starters, projected vs actual
Indianapolis Caults
PlayerProjPts+/−
QBC.J. Stroud
15.322.9vs projection +7.7
RBCam Skattebo
12.87.1vs projection −5.7
RBWoody Marks
8.812.5vs projection +3.7
WRLuther Burden
11.78.9vs projection −2.7
WRDontayvion Wicks
9.111.3vs projection +2.2
WRDK Metcalf
12.65.3vs projection −7.3
TETyler Warren
10.621.4vs projection +10.8
WRDJ Moore
11.00.0vs projection −11.0
QBDaniel Jones
12.712.1vs projection −0.6
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PlayerProjPts+/−
QBAaron Rodgers
16.631.0vs projection +14.4
RBJeremiyah Love
12.72.2vs projection −10.5
RBBhayshul Tuten
12.711.6vs projection −1.1
WRDohnte Meyers
4.63.2vs projection −1.4
WRRyan Flournoy
8.413.0vs projection +4.6
WRRoman Wilson
9.00.0vs projection −9.0
TEKyle Pitts
7.815.2vs projection +7.4
RBKeaton Mitchell
9.95.9vs projection −4.0
QBTyson Bagent
13.51.2vs projection −12.3
60% romanempire1O/U 274.0
MEDIAN2k27zaybanga
142.70
Proj 132.2Spread +10.0ML +150
romanempire1romanempire1
169.00
Proj 141.9Spread -10.0ML -150
All-time series: zaybanga 2–2
Starters, projected vs actual
MEDIAN2k27
PlayerProjPts+/−
QBDak Prescott
20.916.6vs projection −4.3
RBJavonte Williams
19.314.2vs projection −5.1
RBQuinshon Judkins
11.58.0vs projection −3.5
WRDrake London
17.319.8vs projection +2.5
WRDenzel Boston
10.013.6vs projection +3.6
WRJameson Williams
11.918.7vs projection +6.8
TEHarold Fannin
10.81.4vs projection −9.4
RBBucky Irving
15.233.5vs projection +18.3
QBJalon Daniels
15.216.9vs projection +1.6
romanempire1
PlayerProjPts+/−
QBJalen Hurts
14.918.0vs projection +3.1
RBD'Andre Swift
17.917.3vs projection −0.6
RBDavid Montgomery
12.91.1vs projection −11.8
WRJustin Jefferson
16.318.8vs projection +2.5
WRJa'Marr Chase
20.221.7vs projection +1.5
WRGarrett Wilson
15.624.4vs projection +8.8
TEBrock Bowers
15.824.0vs projection +8.2
WRMike Evans
13.527.3vs projection +13.8
QBMichael Penix
14.816.4vs projection +1.6
63% seanhupke99O/U 252.0
seanhupke99seanhupke99
128.64
Proj 132.3Spread -12.5ML -170
Blue Tentdadishome11
125.16
Proj 119.9Spread +12.5ML +170
All-time series: seanhupke99 1–2
Starters, projected vs actual
seanhupke99
PlayerProjPts+/−
QBJordan Love
17.337.3vs projection +20.0
RBAaron Jones
14.919.7vs projection +4.8
RBTony Pollard
9.65.2vs projection −4.4
WRPuka Nacua
20.50.0vs projection −20.5
WRJaxon Smith-Njigba
23.223.8vs projection +0.6
WRKhalil Shakir
9.70.0vs projection −9.7
TETucker Kraft
10.912.6vs projection +1.7
TEDallas Goedert
9.59.8vs projection +0.3
QBKyler Murray
16.820.3vs projection +3.5
Blue Tent
PlayerProjPts+/−
QBJared Goff
21.834.9vs projection +13.2
RBBraelon Allen
15.319.6vs projection +4.3
RBRJ Harvey
11.70.7vs projection −11.0
WRRome Odunze
9.75.0vs projection −4.6
WRJaylen Waddle
12.14.8vs projection −7.3
WRMalik Nabers
14.030.1vs projection +16.1
TEJuwan Johnson
10.25.6vs projection −4.6
WRJosh Downs
10.48.7vs projection −1.7
QBKirk Cousins
14.815.7vs projection +0.9