The OGs

2026 · Week 3

Lines and matchups

Each line sums the Sleeper PPR projection for every starter in the lineup. The spread is the projected margin, the total is the combined projection, and moneylines are fair odds from a normal model with no vig.

Week 3 results

Favorites went 6–0

75% camfleetyO/U 267.5 · Under · Favorite covered
Mr. BTA (Dong Corleone)camfleety
151.26
Proj 146.4Spread -25.5ML -295
Indianapolis Caultsclrodriguez17
114.18
Proj 121.1Spread +25.5ML +295
All-time series: camfleety 1–1
Starters, projected vs actual
Mr. BTA (Dong Corleone)
PlayerProjPts+/−
QBTrevor Lawrence
19.325.8vs projection +6.5
RBKenneth Walker
20.221.3vs projection +1.1
RBChase Brown
16.18.9vs projection −7.2
WRCeeDee Lamb
17.422.2vs projection +4.8
WRChris Olave
17.920.7vs projection +2.8
WRParker Washington
15.313.0vs projection −2.2
TEDalton Schultz
11.86.0vs projection −5.8
WRTetairoa McMillan
14.23.7vs projection −10.5
QBAaron Rodgers
14.329.7vs projection +15.4
Indianapolis Caults
PlayerProjPts+/−
QBDaniel Jones
13.79.9vs projection −3.8
RBChuba Hubbard
14.815.0vs projection +0.2
RBJonathan Taylor
19.99.2vs projection −10.7
WRDJ Moore
12.412.7vs projection +0.3
WRXavier Worthy
10.44.0vs projection −6.4
WRJordan Addison
9.222.0vs projection +12.8
TETyler Warren
10.314.7vs projection +4.4
RBCam Skattebo
15.113.0vs projection −2.1
QBC.J. Stroud
15.413.7vs projection −1.7
63% Packman1152O/U 251.5 · Over · Favorite covered
Bake It 'Til You Make Itdeepsync1210
93.14
Proj 119.5Spread +12.5ML +170
Packman1152Packman1152
187.26
Proj 131.9Spread -12.5ML -170
All-time series: deepsync1210 3–2
Starters, projected vs actual
Bake It 'Til You Make It
PlayerProjPts+/−
QBDrake Maye
18.63.8vs projection −14.8
RBDerrick Henry
18.921.9vs projection +3.0
RBTravis Etienne
11.39.0vs projection −2.2
WRDeVonta Smith
15.212.5vs projection −2.7
WRChris Godwin
9.55.5vs projection −4.0
WRMarvin Harrison
7.67.0vs projection −0.6
TETrey McBride
16.916.5vs projection −0.4
RBKaelon Black
5.51.7vs projection −3.8
QBBaker Mayfield
16.015.3vs projection −0.7
Packman1152
PlayerProjPts+/−
QBSam Darnold
16.936.7vs projection +19.7
RBBijan Robinson
20.137.3vs projection +17.2
RBKyren Williams
13.521.8vs projection +8.3
WRAmon-Ra St. Brown
19.711.9vs projection −7.8
WRDeebo Samuel
11.317.4vs projection +6.0
WRMichael Wilson
12.025.9vs projection +13.9
TEIsaiah Likely
9.83.3vs projection −6.5
RBJadarian Price
10.11.2vs projection −8.9
QBTyler Shough
18.431.8vs projection +13.5
73% bryandespain2O/U 265.0 · Over · Favorite covered
Hypothetical Juggernautbryandespain2
201.14
Proj 144.2Spread -23.5ML -270
MEDIAN2k27zaybanga
149.08
Proj 120.7Spread +23.5ML +270
All-time series: bryandespain2 2–1
Starters, projected vs actual
Hypothetical Juggernaut
PlayerProjPts+/−
QBJosh Allen
23.717.5vs projection −6.2
RBJahmyr Gibbs
23.541.4vs projection +17.9
RBBhayshul Tuten
11.317.0vs projection +5.7
WRJosh Downs
11.212.7vs projection +1.5
WRChristian Watson
15.622.6vs projection +7.0
WRWan'Dale Robinson
8.818.7vs projection +9.9
TESam LaPorta
12.37.4vs projection −4.9
RBJaylen Warren
16.121.6vs projection +5.5
QBBrock Purdy
21.642.3vs projection +20.7
MEDIAN2k27
PlayerProjPts+/−
QBDak Prescott
19.021.9vs projection +3.0
RBJavonte Williams
15.418.3vs projection +2.9
RBQuinshon Judkins
12.39.9vs projection −2.4
WRDrake London
13.531.4vs projection +17.9
WRRashee Rice
12.215.8vs projection +3.6
WRDenzel Boston
10.18.1vs projection −2.0
TEHarold Fannin
9.424.1vs projection +14.7
RBTreVeyon Henderson
12.63.9vs projection −8.7
QBBryce Young
16.215.6vs projection −0.6
60% romanempire1O/U 256.5 · Under · Favorite covered
Vick’s Dogg Squadnathanvecchio
108.56
Proj 123.5Spread +9.5ML +150
romanempire1romanempire1
141.46
Proj 132.9Spread -9.5ML -150
All-time series: nathanvecchio 0–2
Starters, projected vs actual
Vick’s Dogg Squad
PlayerProjPts+/−
QBJared Goff
19.424.4vs projection +4.9
RBDe'Von Achane
16.41.7vs projection −14.7
RBRhamondre Stevenson
10.76.8vs projection −3.9
WRJaylen Waddle
13.36.4vs projection −6.9
WRDavante Adams
14.222.7vs projection +8.5
WRMike Evans
12.612.4vs projection −0.2
TETravis Kelce
11.714.9vs projection +3.2
WRStefon Diggs
9.27.3vs projection −1.9
QBMalik Willis
16.012.0vs projection −4.0
romanempire1
PlayerProjPts+/−
QBJalen Hurts
18.512.6vs projection −5.8
RBD'Andre Swift
14.110.8vs projection −3.3
RBDavid Montgomery
14.46.8vs projection −7.6
WRJa'Marr Chase
16.824.8vs projection +8.0
WRJustin Jefferson
16.75.2vs projection −11.5
WRGarrett Wilson
16.027.7vs projection +11.7
TEBrock Bowers
13.028.6vs projection +15.6
WRDevaughn Vele
10.16.9vs projection −3.2
QBMichael Penix
13.418.0vs projection +4.6
56% RMcGee33O/U 267.5 · Over · Favorite covered
seanhupke99seanhupke99
122.66
Proj 131.1Spread +5.5ML +125
Daejon’s AgentRMcGee33
162.38
Proj 136.6Spread -5.5ML -125
All-time series: seanhupke99 0–2
Starters, projected vs actual
seanhupke99
PlayerProjPts+/−
QBJordan Love
16.524.5vs projection +8.0
RBAaron Jones
12.914.2vs projection +1.3
RBTony Pollard
12.413.6vs projection +1.2
WRJalen Coker
14.73.8vs projection −10.9
WRJaxon Smith-Njigba
21.936.4vs projection +14.4
WRMalik Nabers
13.77.6vs projection −6.1
TETucker Kraft
11.56.6vs projection −4.9
WRKhalil Shakir
10.11.6vs projection −8.5
QBKyler Murray
17.514.4vs projection −3.0
Daejon’s Agent
PlayerProjPts+/−
QBJoe Burrow
17.528.6vs projection +11.1
RBChristian McCaffrey
20.621.6vs projection +1.0
RBAshton Jeanty
15.912.3vs projection −3.6
WRTee Higgins
13.521.0vs projection +7.5
WRZay Flowers
14.115.4vs projection +1.3
WRMatthew Golden
11.223.0vs projection +11.8
TEDalton Kincaid
13.23.8vs projection −9.4
RBBucky Irving
14.77.8vs projection −6.9
QBMatthew Stafford
15.928.9vs projection +13.0
65% ssyork23O/U 249.5 · Under · Underdog covered
Blue Tentdadishome11
108.70
Proj 117.1Spread +15.0ML +190
Loading...ssyork23
110.88
Proj 132.3Spread -15.0ML -190
All-time series: dadishome11 2–2
Starters, projected vs actual
Blue Tent
PlayerProjPts+/−
QBPatrick Mahomes
20.620.9vs projection +0.3
RBOmarion Hampton
14.15.6vs projection −8.5
RBBreece Hall
15.98.5vs projection −7.4
WRMichael Pittman
9.43.6vs projection −5.8
WRKC Concepcion
9.52.9vs projection −6.6
WRJameson Williams
12.88.9vs projection −3.8
TEJuwan Johnson
10.323.3vs projection +13.0
RBRJ Harvey
10.810.7vs projection −0.1
QBDeshaun Watson
13.824.3vs projection +10.5
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PlayerProjPts+/−
QBLamar Jackson
24.524.4vs projection ±0.0
RBJames Cook
16.620.4vs projection +3.8
RBSaquon Barkley
15.99.0vs projection −6.9
WRLadd McConkey
14.110.6vs projection −3.5
WREmeka Egbuka
9.711.2vs projection +1.5
WRGeorge Pickens
14.915.2vs projection +0.3
TEKyle Pitts
9.51.5vs projection −8.0
RBMarShawn Lloyd
10.23.8vs projection −6.4
QBJustin Herbert
16.914.7vs projection −2.1