The OGs

2026 · Week 4

Lines and matchups

Each line sums the Sleeper PPR projection for every starter in the lineup. The spread is the projected margin, the total is the combined projection, and moneylines are fair odds from a normal model with no vig.

Week 4 results

Favorites went 5–1

75% camfleetyO/U 296.5 · Over · Underdog covered
Mr. BTA (Dong Corleone)camfleety
176.06
Proj 161.0Spread -25.5ML -300
Packman1152Packman1152
180.26
Proj 135.4Spread +25.5ML +300
All-time series: camfleety 3–0
Starters, projected vs actual
Mr. BTA (Dong Corleone)
PlayerProjPts+/−
QBLamar Jackson
21.823.9vs projection +2.1
RBKenneth Walker
19.932.9vs projection +13.0
RBJames Cook
17.316.3vs projection −1.0
WRCeeDee Lamb
17.442.3vs projection +24.9
WRChris Olave
19.021.6vs projection +2.6
WRParker Washington
17.22.0vs projection −15.2
TEDalton Schultz
10.52.9vs projection −7.6
RBChase Brown
17.419.1vs projection +1.7
QBTrevor Lawrence
20.415.1vs projection −5.4
Packman1152
PlayerProjPts+/−
QBSam Darnold
17.117.3vs projection +0.2
RBBijan Robinson
23.231.7vs projection +8.5
RBKyren Williams
13.736.7vs projection +23.0
WRAmon-Ra St. Brown
19.415.5vs projection −3.9
WRDeebo Samuel
9.318.0vs projection +8.7
WRMichael Wilson
14.616.5vs projection +1.9
TEIsaiah Likely
11.413.6vs projection +2.2
WRMalik Washington
8.912.0vs projection +3.1
QBTyler Shough
17.918.9vs projection +1.1
65% dadishome11O/U 224.0 · Over · Underdog covered
Bake It 'Til You Make Itdeepsync1210
109.72
Proj 104.8Spread +14.5ML +185
Blue Tentdadishome11
121.38
Proj 119.1Spread -14.5ML -185
All-time series: deepsync1210 3–1
Starters, projected vs actual
Bake It 'Til You Make It
PlayerProjPts+/−
QBDrake Maye
17.832.2vs projection +14.4
RBOllie Gordon
8.420.0vs projection +11.6
RBKaelon Black
5.41.3vs projection −4.1
WRGeorge Pickens
14.710.5vs projection −4.2
WRJakobi Meyers
9.96.3vs projection −3.6
WRPat Bryant
7.67.7vs projection +0.1
TETrey McBride
17.510.1vs projection −7.4
WRChris Godwin
9.29.1vs projection −0.1
QBJustin Herbert
14.312.6vs projection −1.7
Blue Tent
PlayerProjPts+/−
QBPatrick Mahomes
21.324.0vs projection +2.7
RBBraelon Allen
12.88.7vs projection −4.1
RBJacory Croskey-Merritt
13.37.0vs projection −6.3
WRJosh Downs
13.94.6vs projection −9.3
WRJaylen Waddle
12.614.5vs projection +1.9
WRMalik Nabers
13.924.2vs projection +10.3
TEJuwan Johnson
12.711.9vs projection −0.8
WRLadd McConkey
0.00.0vs projection ±0.0
QBJared Goff
18.626.5vs projection +7.9
58% bryandespain2O/U 312.5 · Over · Favorite covered
Hypothetical Juggernautbryandespain2
203.84
Proj 160.1Spread -7.5ML -135
Daejon’s AgentRMcGee33
178.40
Proj 152.6Spread +7.5ML +135
All-time series: bryandespain2 0–4
Starters, projected vs actual
Hypothetical Juggernaut
PlayerProjPts+/−
QBJosh Allen
23.421.5vs projection −1.9
RBJahmyr Gibbs
25.717.7vs projection −8.0
RBJaylen Warren
18.615.6vs projection −3.0
WRTetairoa McMillan
15.946.2vs projection +30.3
WRChristian Watson
15.27.7vs projection −7.5
WRNico Collins
18.632.8vs projection +14.2
TESam LaPorta
11.722.4vs projection +10.7
RBOmarion Hampton
10.713.3vs projection +2.6
QBBrock Purdy
20.426.6vs projection +6.3
Daejon’s Agent
PlayerProjPts+/−
QBJoe Burrow
19.627.7vs projection +8.1
RBChristian McCaffrey
19.416.0vs projection −3.4
RBJonathan Taylor
21.722.7vs projection +1.0
WRTee Higgins
16.627.7vs projection +11.1
WRZay Flowers
16.127.8vs projection +11.7
WRDavante Adams
15.37.2vs projection −8.1
TEGeorge Kittle
12.020.0vs projection +8.0
RBAshton Jeanty
15.318.6vs projection +3.3
QBMatthew Stafford
16.510.7vs projection −5.9
59% clrodriguez17O/U 252.0 · Under · Underdog covered
Indianapolis Caultsclrodriguez17
109.60
Proj 130.4Spread -9.0ML -145
romanempire1romanempire1
105.94
Proj 121.6Spread +9.0ML +145
All-time series: clrodriguez17 0–4
Starters, projected vs actual
Indianapolis Caults
PlayerProjPts+/−
QBDaniel Jones
16.77.9vs projection −8.8
RBChuba Hubbard
16.326.9vs projection +10.6
RBCam Skattebo
15.47.6vs projection −7.8
WRDJ Moore
13.92.7vs projection −11.2
WRDontayvion Wicks
11.44.8vs projection −6.6
WRJordan Addison
12.99.1vs projection −3.8
TETyler Warren
12.69.1vs projection −3.5
WRLuther Burden
12.711.4vs projection −1.3
QBC.J. Stroud
18.530.1vs projection +11.6
romanempire1
PlayerProjPts+/−
QBJalen Hurts
16.617.5vs projection +1.0
RBD'Andre Swift
16.37.4vs projection −8.9
RBDavid Montgomery
15.04.3vs projection −10.7
WRDevaughn Vele
10.917.4vs projection +6.5
WRJa'Marr Chase
0.05.7vs projection +5.7
WRGarrett Wilson
18.85.7vs projection −13.1
TEBrock Bowers
15.220.6vs projection +5.4
WRMike Evans
14.112.6vs projection −1.5
QBMichael Penix
14.814.7vs projection −0.1
78% seanhupke99O/U 231.5 · Over · Favorite covered
Vick’s Dogg Squadnathanvecchio
99.62
Proj 101.1Spread +29.0ML +350
seanhupke99seanhupke99
132.96
Proj 130.2Spread -29.0ML -350
All-time series: nathanvecchio 3–0
Starters, projected vs actual
Vick’s Dogg Squad
PlayerProjPts+/−
QBDeshaun Watson
15.015.9vs projection +0.9
RBDerrick Henry
19.415.9vs projection −3.5
RBSaquon Barkley
0.02.0vs projection +2.0
WRStefon Diggs
12.78.5vs projection −4.2
WRRomeo Doubs
9.023.8vs projection +14.8
WRQuentin Johnston
8.76.0vs projection −2.7
TEDarren Waller
10.76.6vs projection −4.1
RBRhamondre Stevenson
12.718.4vs projection +5.7
QBMalik Willis
13.02.5vs projection −10.5
seanhupke99
PlayerProjPts+/−
QBJordan Love
17.117.1vs projection ±0.0
RBAaron Jones
15.116.8vs projection +1.7
RBTony Pollard
9.413.0vs projection +3.6
WRPuka Nacua
19.328.7vs projection +9.4
WRJaxon Smith-Njigba
22.612.6vs projection −10.0
WRKalif Raymond
10.22.6vs projection −7.6
TETucker Kraft
10.516.5vs projection +6.0
WRKhalil Shakir
8.214.2vs projection +6.0
QBKyler Murray
17.911.5vs projection −6.4
87% zaybangaO/U 212.5 · Over · Favorite covered
MEDIAN2k27zaybanga
150.16
Proj 127.6Spread -42.5ML -655
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74.92
Proj 85.0Spread +42.5ML +655
All-time series: zaybanga 0–3
Starters, projected vs actual
MEDIAN2k27
PlayerProjPts+/−
QBDak Prescott
18.322.1vs projection +3.8
RBJavonte Williams
15.031.3vs projection +16.3
RBQuinshon Judkins
10.821.6vs projection +10.8
WRDrake London
17.014.6vs projection −2.4
WRRashee Rice
14.00.0vs projection −14.0
WRJameson Williams
11.818.2vs projection +6.4
TEHarold Fannin
11.711.7vs projection ±0.0
RBTreVeyon Henderson
9.64.2vs projection −5.4
QBBryce Young
19.426.5vs projection +7.1
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PlayerProjPts+/−
QBTyson Bagent
15.28.8vs projection −6.4
RBJeremiyah Love
15.96.5vs projection −9.4
RBBhayshul Tuten
12.711.1vs projection −1.6
WRDohnte Meyers
3.815.2vs projection +11.5
WRRyan Flournoy
8.27.7vs projection −0.5
WRElic Ayomanor
5.93.2vs projection −2.7
TETravis Kelce
11.73.5vs projection −8.2
WRXavier Hutchinson
5.77.6vs projection +1.9
RBKeaton Mitchell
6.011.3vs projection +5.3