The OGs

2026 · Week 1

Lines and matchups

Each line sums the Sleeper PPR projection for every starter in the lineup. The spread is the projected margin, the total is the combined projection, and moneylines are fair odds from a normal model with no vig.

Week 1 results

Favorites went 2–4

55% camfleetyO/U 283.5 · Over · Underdog covered
Mr. BTA (Dong Corleone)camfleety
175.36
Proj 144.2Spread -4.5ML -120
Hypothetical Juggernautbryandespain2
197.86
Proj 139.5Spread +4.5ML +120
All-time series: camfleety 1–3
Starters, projected vs actual
Mr. BTA (Dong Corleone)
PlayerProjPts+/−
QBJayden Daniels
17.121.7vs projection +4.5
RBKenneth Walker
13.738.1vs projection +24.4
RBChase Brown
17.118.8vs projection +1.7
WRCeeDee Lamb
16.115.4vs projection −0.7
WRA.J. Brown
16.85.6vs projection −11.2
WRChris Olave
16.131.2vs projection +15.1
TEColston Loveland
13.80.0vs projection −13.8
WRTetairoa McMillan
14.910.5vs projection −4.4
QBTrevor Lawrence
18.634.1vs projection +15.5
Hypothetical Juggernaut
PlayerProjPts+/−
QBJosh Allen
19.443.7vs projection +24.3
RBJahmyr Gibbs
22.134.6vs projection +12.5
RBJaylen Warren
13.510.3vs projection −3.2
WRNico Collins
16.421.2vs projection +4.8
WRWan'Dale Robinson
11.28.8vs projection −2.4
WRJosh Downs
12.15.7vs projection −6.4
TESam LaPorta
13.89.8vs projection −4.0
WRChristian Watson
12.636.7vs projection +24.1
QBBrock Purdy
18.427.1vs projection +8.7
54% deepsync1210O/U 264.0 · Over · Underdog covered
Bake It 'Til You Make Itdeepsync1210
124.06
Proj 133.8Spread -3.5ML -115
seanhupke99seanhupke99
141.00
Proj 130.3Spread +3.5ML +115
All-time series: deepsync1210 2–1
Starters, projected vs actual
Bake It 'Til You Make It
PlayerProjPts+/−
QBDrake Maye
19.711.8vs projection −7.9
RBTravis Etienne
15.914.8vs projection −1.1
RBDerrick Henry
15.336.3vs projection +21.0
WRDeVonta Smith
15.78.3vs projection −7.4
WRMarvin Harrison
9.74.3vs projection −5.4
WRChris Godwin
11.88.3vs projection −3.5
TETrey McBride
14.324.5vs projection +10.3
RBRico Dowdle
12.54.1vs projection −8.4
QBBaker Mayfield
18.911.6vs projection −7.3
seanhupke99
PlayerProjPts+/−
QBJordan Love
15.729.5vs projection +13.8
RBTony Pollard
11.44.4vs projection −7.0
RBRachaad White
9.24.7vs projection −4.5
WRPuka Nacua
21.013.4vs projection −7.6
WRJaxon Smith-Njigba
19.729.2vs projection +9.5
WRMalik Nabers
12.912.9vs projection ±0.0
TETucker Kraft
10.59.5vs projection −1.0
WRJalen Coker
11.937.8vs projection +25.9
QBKyler Murray
18.1-0.4vs projection −18.4
59% clrodriguez17O/U 248.0 · Over · Favorite covered
Indianapolis Caultsclrodriguez17
169.42
Proj 128.3Spread -8.5ML -145
MEDIAN2k27zaybanga
138.24
Proj 119.6Spread +8.5ML +145
All-time series: clrodriguez17 3–1
Starters, projected vs actual
Indianapolis Caults
PlayerProjPts+/−
QBCaleb Williams
18.342.3vs projection +23.9
RBCam Skattebo
15.214.1vs projection −1.1
RBJonathan Taylor
19.025.1vs projection +6.1
WRLuther Burden
13.19.5vs projection −3.6
WRDJ Moore
10.924.0vs projection +13.1
WRJordan Addison
11.70.0vs projection −11.7
TETyler Warren
13.810.3vs projection −3.5
RBChuba Hubbard
10.823.7vs projection +12.9
QBC.J. Stroud
15.520.5vs projection +5.0
MEDIAN2k27
PlayerProjPts+/−
QBDak Prescott
17.918.4vs projection +0.5
RBJavonte Williams
17.124.2vs projection +7.1
RBQuinshon Judkins
10.87.0vs projection −3.8
WRRashee Rice
12.89.9vs projection −2.9
WRParker Washington
12.219.3vs projection +7.1
WRRome Odunze
11.28.2vs projection −3.0
TEHarold Fannin
10.54.1vs projection −6.4
WRTre Tucker
10.54.7vs projection −5.8
QBBryce Young
16.642.4vs projection +25.9
55% nathanvecchioO/U 249.0 · Under · Underdog covered
Vick’s Dogg Squadnathanvecchio
112.54
Proj 127.1Spread -5.0ML -125
Blue Tentdadishome11
131.56
Proj 121.9Spread +5.0ML +125
All-time series: nathanvecchio 1–2
Starters, projected vs actual
Vick’s Dogg Squad
PlayerProjPts+/−
QBJared Goff
19.020.4vs projection +1.5
RBDe'Von Achane
16.610.6vs projection −6.0
RBRhamondre Stevenson
16.414.5vs projection −1.9
WRJaylen Waddle
14.21.2vs projection −13.0
WRDavante Adams
12.65.6vs projection −7.0
WRMike Evans
12.816.9vs projection +4.1
TETravis Kelce
9.511.1vs projection +1.6
WRStefon Diggs
10.115.5vs projection +5.4
QBMalik Willis
16.016.7vs projection +0.7
Blue Tent
PlayerProjPts+/−
QBJaxson Dart
18.932.6vs projection +13.7
RBOmarion Hampton
16.08.3vs projection −7.7
RBBreece Hall
15.620.8vs projection +5.2
WRTerry McLaurin
12.13.4vs projection −8.6
WRMichael Pittman
10.28.8vs projection −1.4
WRJameson Williams
14.28.5vs projection −5.6
TEJuwan Johnson
10.414.4vs projection +4.0
RBRJ Harvey
9.68.1vs projection −1.5
QBPatrick Mahomes
15.026.7vs projection +11.6
60% RMcGee33O/U 273.5 · Over · Underdog covered
Packman1152Packman1152
160.42
Proj 132.0Spread +9.5ML +150
Daejon’s AgentRMcGee33
148.20
Proj 141.5Spread -9.5ML -150
All-time series: Packman1152 1–1
Starters, projected vs actual
Packman1152
PlayerProjPts+/−
QBSam Darnold
17.10.5vs projection −16.6
RBBijan Robinson
19.331.3vs projection +12.1
RBKyren Williams
14.615.5vs projection +0.9
WRAmon-Ra St. Brown
20.228.7vs projection +8.5
WRMichael Wilson
10.410.6vs projection +0.2
WRJayden Reed
12.15.0vs projection −7.1
TEIsaiah Likely
10.527.8vs projection +17.3
RBJadarian Price
9.87.8vs projection −2.0
QBTyler Shough
18.133.2vs projection +15.1
Daejon’s Agent
PlayerProjPts+/−
QBJoe Burrow
20.916.2vs projection −4.8
RBChristian McCaffrey
19.613.8vs projection −5.8
RBAshton Jeanty
16.033.7vs projection +17.7
WRTee Higgins
16.18.9vs projection −7.2
WRZay Flowers
15.631.0vs projection +15.4
WRDK Metcalf
11.38.0vs projection −3.3
TEMark Andrews
10.38.9vs projection −1.4
RBBucky Irving
14.720.3vs projection +5.7
QBBo Nix
17.07.4vs projection −9.6
57% romanempire1O/U 268.0 · Over · Favorite covered
Loading...ssyork23
107.72
Proj 130.5Spread +7.0ML +135
romanempire1romanempire1
168.52
Proj 137.5Spread -7.0ML -135
All-time series: ssyork23 3–0
Starters, projected vs actual
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PlayerProjPts+/−
QBLamar Jackson
19.633.0vs projection +13.4
RBJames Cook
16.59.9vs projection −6.6
RBSaquon Barkley
16.310.0vs projection −6.3
WRLadd McConkey
13.219.2vs projection +6.0
WREmeka Egbuka
12.911.3vs projection −1.6
WRGeorge Pickens
15.65.8vs projection −9.7
TEAJ Barner
9.33.3vs projection −6.0
TEKyle Pitts
9.70.0vs projection −9.7
QBJustin Herbert
17.515.3vs projection −2.2
romanempire1
PlayerProjPts+/−
QBJalen Hurts
20.833.7vs projection +12.9
RBD'Andre Swift
13.433.4vs projection +20.0
RBDavid Montgomery
15.228.9vs projection +13.7
WRJa'Marr Chase
20.43.2vs projection −17.2
WRJustin Jefferson
17.531.2vs projection +13.7
WRGarrett Wilson
14.813.9vs projection −0.9
TEGunnar Helm
7.66.8vs projection −0.8
WRQuentin Johnston
11.03.7vs projection −7.3
QBCam Ward
16.813.7vs projection −3.1